Media investigation: Some vegetable prices plunged and farmers are reluctant to plant garlic ginger

Garlic prices plunged ginger faces sluggish sales 【Core Tips】

The prices of agricultural products such as garlic, ginger and mung bean (12.91, -0.29, and -2.20%) soared in the past two years. They once spawned network hot words such as "garlic yin," "beans, you play," "ginger, and your army." Now the reporter found that "the garlic you 狠 沦 沦" “ “ 蒜 贱 贱 蒜 , , , , , , , , , , , , “ “ “ “ “ “ “ “ “ “ 姜 姜 姜 ” 不再 不再 不再 不再 不再 不再 不再 , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Affected by various factors, the prices of agricultural products such as garlic, ginger and mung bean soared in 2010, and farmers followed suit in succession, causing prices of these agricultural products to shrink this year. If you do not solve the problem of supply and demand information asymmetry, the price will once again appear to be roller coaster-like ups and downs will be inevitable.

The market dilemma “Jiang Youjun” faced with the unmarketable woman who lived near the Liberation Bridge. She caught a cold and wanted to buy a piece of ginger and brown sugar. On the morning of the 19th, she came to the community vegetable market and picked up a piece of ginger and demanded to weigh it. The boss yelled, “There is more than a kilo and two bucks.” Qi, who is ready to pay, said: “Remember to buy nearly 10 pieces of such a piece last year. money."

In the comprehensive wholesale market of Lushan agricultural products, Mr. Wang, who has been engaged in ginger wholesale business all the year round, told reporters that in October last year, the wholesale price of dark ginger was at least 4 yuan/kg, and bright and yellow ginger was sold only for 1 yuan/kg this year. , Shrink more than 70%. In places such as Laiwu, Weifang, and Linyi, there is a phenomenon of slow-moving ginger.

The old hole planted 4 mu of ginger in this year's Qinshui County, Linyi City. The growth is good. Now it is to be harvested. He guilty: "Last year there was still a cellar, where did you save this year?" According to reports, last year ginger At the time of harvest, the price was very high. Fresh ginger with mud and water was sold at 3 yuan/kg. The old hole smashed the "exceeded goods can live" and kept a deposit to sell a higher price.

However, it was counterproductive. Since this year, the purchase price of ginger has continued to decline. "The more you drop, the more you won't want to sell." Lao Kong told the reporter on the phone.

In contrast, Lao Zhang made preparations in advance. Two days ago, he transferred all of the 20,000 pounds of ginger in the cellar to a relative. "The relatives are engaged in the ginger wholesale business. The price has not been discussed yet. The money has not been given. It can be handled well." Lao Zhang said that ginger harvest is on the way and new ginger must be released in the cellar.

Referring to this year's market, Lao Kong said: “Large losses, when the ginger was very expensive this year, when it was harvested, it was only 3 cents a pound. If you sell it now, you will lose 3 pounds per pound and produce 10,000 pounds per mu. Counting, pay 3,000 yuan per mu," said Lao Kong, who can only spend money to hire new ginger in the cellar, and wait until next year to sell it.

Due to the serious shortage of "migrant workers" in recent years, the cost of labor in rural areas has also risen. Last year, one person was hired for only 80 yuan/day, and this year it was 100 yuan/day. The money for digging a cellar rose from 4,000 yuan to 5,000 yuan.

According to reports, “Gang Youjun” this year, “the scenery is no longer” is a national one. In China’s largest producer and distributing center of ginger, Weifang Anqiu, farmers also face problems such as the price of ginger falling without returning to cost, unsalable sales, and other issues. In Huludao, the famous hometown of ginger production in northeast China, peasants planted a net of 4,000 yuan per mu of ginger, and because there is no cellar storage, many ginger are in danger of being rotted in the ground.

Scenery is no longer a hot word has become "past time"

From the second half of 2009, the price of garlic continued to rise sharply, rising by more than 10 times in individual regions in September 2010. Many netizens were surprised to create a hot word for the network—“Garlic, yours”.

Today, "garlic oysters" has become "garlic oysters." On the morning of the 18th, the reporter saw a vegetable market near Xiyuan Community. Garlic only sold about 2 yuan/jin, which was comparable to the price of 8 yuan/kg last year. “In the place of origin, garlic prices have fallen even more severely.” Laiwu Garinong Yue told reporters on the phone on the 19th. When the garlic harvest was launched in June and July this year, the purchase price was only 0.7 yuan/kg, and 2.5 yuan/kg last year.

Talking about the reasons for the price cuts, Mr. Yue blurted out: "The cost of two years more, more species!" The data can explain some problems. According to statistics, due to the high price of garlic in 2009 and 2010, this year, the country's garlic planting area is higher than that of 2010. An increase of 20%, only in Jinxiang, Shandong, garlic harvested an area of ​​695,800 acres, an increase of 14.7 million mu last year, a record high. The harvest of garlic caused the market to oversupply.

"Beans you play" also came to an end. In May 2010, affected by mung bean heat and other factors, Jinan mung bean prices soared from about RMB 3.5/kg in 2009 to about RMB 13/kg. Since then, the state has conducted rigorous investigations such as hoarding and dissemination of price increases, and prices have begun to gradually increase. The decline fell to 7.5 yuan/kg in May this year.

Reporters learned that at present, the retail price of mung beans in the Jinan market is generally below 7 yuan/kg. Mr. Li, who is engaged in grain and oil wholesale business in the wholesale agricultural products wholesale market in Lushan, said that the price drop was related to the successive listing of mung beans produced this year. After a period of time, a large number of mung beans in the northeast were listed and the price may drop.

The relevant person in charge of the price monitoring center of the Jinan Municipal Price Bureau stated that the reasons for the low output of the mung bean in the previous two years were related to artificial speculation. Now that these factors have disappeared, it is expected that no more than RMB 10/kg will be possible. Now.

In addition, once the hot words like "Ping", "Spicy to you", "Your drug life", "Needle of cotton," "Gao Gaozong", etc., are now more and more beautiful scenery. Cotton prices soared 100% last year, breaking through 33,000 yuan / ton, causing clothing prices to rise, and this year, industry insiders said that fell below 20,000 yuan / ton is no suspense.

According to the data from the Ministry of Commerce, the current prices of agricultural products continued to decline steadily. Last week, the wholesale price of pork fell 1.9% from the mid-September, and the retail price of eggs fell by 0.9% from the end of September. The wholesale price of 18 kinds of vegetables fell by 5 compared with the previous week. %, of which lettuce, rapeseed and cucumber declined by 18.8%, 15.8% and 13.9%, respectively, and Chinese cabbage, white radish and tomato dropped by 11.1%, 9.4% and 8%, respectively.

In the chain reaction, some farmers are reluctant to plant garlic and cold ginger has already passed. In the new round of garlic growing season, Zhuo Zhengzheng is making difficult decisions in the main supply area of ​​vegetables in Jinan, Zhazhuang. Change wheat. He is the secretary of the branch of Quzi Village in Binhu Town, Tengzhou, and is also the person in charge of the Limin Garlic Cooperative of the village. His decision concerns the livelihoods of more than 10 families in the coming year.

"There was no similar problem last year." Zhuo Zhengzhen said on the phone on the 19th that at that time garlic prices had risen continuously for about a year and were at a high level. Many people took it for granted that they must have earned money. As a result, at the time of harvest in May and June of this year, the purchase price fell to 0.7 yuan/kg, which was still less than one-third of last year, and even the costs could not be recovered. According to him, planting an acre of garlic requires at least 400 pounds of garlic. To calculate it at 3 yuan a pound last year, only the cost of garlic would cost 1,200 yuan. In a normal year, only about 100 yuan of garlic will be needed to grow an acre of garlic.

Sun Nganhai, a garlic farmer, also said on the phone that he felt that growing garlic was becoming more and more like gambling: “Who knows what kind of market it will be next year? You are very happy. If you continue to be cheap, you waste manpower and material resources.” He decided to stop taking risks and change. Wheat: "Wheat does not need to be controlled by humans. You can work outside the farm during your free time and pay for drought and drought."

Laiwu Garinong Yue also stated that more than 10 households in their village have decided not to grow garlic. Last year, they were all local garlic farmers. Some of the villagers who had gone out to work as farmers were contracted by them to grow garlic.

The above-mentioned Jiangnong old hole is also hesitant. “I tend to grow wheat now and go out to work.” Lao Kong said he was worried about continuing to grow ginger. If the price is still very low next year, no place will be harvested.

The market expects to eat high-priced dishes in the next year?

For some farmers who want to reduce the cultivation of low-priced agricultural products, some citizens worry that “there will be less garlic and less ginger in the next year. Will there be a further increase in prices in the coming year?” Some market participants said that it is very likely that farmers If the trend of blindness is not resolved, garlic prices may rise again next year.

It should be said that the soaring prices of agricultural products like this have not only appeared once, but why did they repeat itself? Dai Zhongji, president of the China Vegetable Circulation Association, believes that the root cause lies in the asymmetry of supply and demand information. Farmers do not understand the market trend, can only follow the feeling of walking, what expensive species, what is cheaper to abandon, always half a beat slower than the market, the result is always "very injured."

Of course, the government is in macro-control, but the production of agricultural products is characterized by periodicity and it is difficult to control them in place. Liu Zhichao, chairman of the China Futures Association, pointed out that the futures market has a "price discovery" function, which can send "strong signals" to agricultural product prices. Therefore, it has long been used in the grain and oil market. Facts have proved that the effect is obvious, grain and oil rarely rise and fall, vegetable can also learn from.

It is understood that in the Western countries, futures have been integrated into the production of agricultural products. “Farmers follow futures to go and planting wills to see futures” has evolved into a mode of production. In China, because of the limited coverage of futures, unreasonable investment structure, and small births, such as "congenitally insufficient" constraints, there is still a long way to go before the "agricultural season docking."