The real recovery of live hog prices may not reach 2011

Pig raising is a long-term production industry. The vast majority of pig-raising people in China always determine the output of the next period based on the price of the previous period. If the prices in the previous period were low, farmers would reduce their production volume, which would result in insufficient supply of pork in the future. This has a direct relationship with the previous round of price crashes. Small funds have no strength on the pigs. With sufficient funds, they are often aware of the risks of the pig industry and are unlikely to fight backsliding. Therefore, the number of live pigs will be greatly reduced.

According to analysis by animal husbandry experts, the availability of sufficient pigs is the main cause of the drop in the price of live pigs in the previous period. The current live pig production is entering a cyclical downswing and is in an industrial downturn. At present, the scale of farmers in China is not very large, and the ability to withstand risks is not very strong. The excessive price of live pigs depends on market regulation. Because farmers cannot control the market price, the blindness of production is large and their follow-up is strong, often the price rises upwards, and the price falls down again. At present, the stock of fertile sows is still very large. It is found in the survey that the apparent number of pigs that have pulled out of pigs has increased.

Pig farm owners should be alert to risks In the first half of the year, hog prices have been falling all the way. The current price of live pigs has picked up, and the cost of farming has remained basically the same as profit. Experts suggested that farmers should adjust their production in a timely manner. Guide the sow farms to adjust the sow population structure, eliminate low- and old-age sows, introduce fine varieties, and optimize the structure and production performance of stocking sows; fattening pig farms should reduce the introduction of piglets, appropriately control the scale of breeding, minimize losses, and reduce production. Blindness avoids the ups and downs of the market.

Experts once again reminded the majority of pig farmers that they should take precautions against market risks. The pig-breeding enterprises and farmers should rationally arrange production, timely adjust the scale of farming and culture structure, and effectively prevent market risks.

The price of live hogs will rise next year Industry insiders predict that the real recovery of hog prices may not reach 2011. Although the current number of live pigs in China is still at a high level of about 450 million heads, if the price of pigs continues to fall, the loss of farmers will continue to increase, which may prompt farmers to speed up the slaughter of pigs on the one hand, and reduce the number of pigs on the other hand. The quantity, which has laid the ground for pork prices in the second half and even the sharp rise in 2011.